repositioning forex
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Repositioning forex forex for Expert Advisors 2011

Repositioning forex

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Inequality could also be exacerbated if some stakeholders were left unprepared to adapt to such changes. The repositioning of the financial sector needs to strike the right balance between promoting innovation and managing risks as well as allowing for flexibility in dealing with abrupt changes.

The BOT welcomes comments and suggestions from all sectors to ensure that the directions and policies appropriately serve the needs of all stakeholders. With regards to the new financial landscape, the BOT expects the financial sector to: 1 leverage on technological advancement to drive innovation and provide inclusive financial services and consumer protection in a level playing field and competitive environment; 2 facilitate the transition of businesses and households in adapting to a digital economy as well as in effectively managing environmental risks; and 3 be resilient to significant and emerging risks, without transmitting them to the system or consumers at large, while the BOT proposes a more flexible regulatory framework that bares minimum regulatory burdens to the financial service providers.

Key policy directions include:. Managing the transition towards sustainability by 1 steering the financial sector to incorporate environmental risk assessment into their business operations and to support the transition of businesses away from environmentally unsustainable activities without disrupting the economy; and 2 supporting the households to make a smooth transition through promoting financial and digital literacy as well as preventing unsustainable over-indebtedness, e.

Shifting from stability to resiliency in terms of supervisory framework to better address emerging risks. The BOT aims to achieve a balance in promoting innovation, while safeguarding the financial and economic stability. This includes 1 applying a risk-proportionality principle to the supervision of service providers according to their risk profiles and the complexity of their products and services; 2 minimizing unnecessary regulatory burden or cost to the service providers; and 3 strengthening supervision of emerging risks, e.

The material on this site is for financial institutions, professional investors and their professional advisers. It is for information only. Please see our Subscription Terms and Conditions. All material subject to strictly enforced copyright laws. FX Survey Fragile forex enters a new era. May 24, Full results More data Press release FX global code: key points.

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The power of following a trend as denoted by positioning can be a fantastic asset to traders but of course, no trends last forever and so it is wise to be alert, though not neurotic, to potential reversal signals. One of the most reliable signals is when positioning moves into extreme levels which usually signals capitulation and exhaustion in the trend and highlights the likelihood of reversal.

Similar to what we discussed in point three, identifying divergent positioning can be another tell-tale sign of a potential reversal in the offing as institutions are displaying less interest in pursuing the move. In this example, we can see that USDJPY is moving higher and higher but the actual build in JPY shorts is getting less and less indicating dwindling momentum before finally positioning shifts.

Whilst the data can indeed be a fantastic tool for helping traders establish directional bias in the market as well as identify period of potential reversal there are a few issues that we need to consider. First of all the data is backdated meaning it tells us how institutions were positioned the prior week and not right now nor how they will be positioned in future.

However, if we are looking to trade with the trend and assume that institutions are following a directional path then it still provides a great guideline. However, as mentioned earlier, rather than using the data week on week look out for key developments such as a shift in positioning and extreme or divergent positioning. Secondly, the data does not reflect the positioning of the entire Forex market.

And finally , it is important to remember that there is no magic wand in trading and no matter how fantastic a system or indicator or strategy appears, it all depends on how useful you find it. That said, the COT data is a classic tool and is used by many hedge funds and systems traders as an information input for their strategies as well as being used by successful retail traders around the globe. Each week we publish a COT update which reports the change in positioning for the prior week as well as noting key fundamental developments in the market helping you to learn more and stay up to date on the latest positioning.

Beginning as a private retail trader, James developed a strong interest in understanding the fundamental aspect of the market before pursuing technical trading capabilities which he now uses to identify opportunities over a short-term horizon. Alongside his market experience, James is also IMC certified having achieved the qualification to help further his understanding not only of the markets but the industry as a whole.

James has a strong interest in both fundamentals and technicals and uses both forms of analysis in generating and executing trade ideas, with trades generally lasting from a few hours to a few days. How Low Can the Euro Go? Making Sense of the Whipsaw in Markets. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment.

By James Harte Last updated Mar 23, Informational Imbalances The development of trends in FX markets relies on the aggregation of institutional order flow to drive a currency or currency pair in a particular direction. In terms of establishing the predictive value of the various segments of client flow, the report concluded that: Asset Manager flows are aligned with sustained shifts in future FX prices indicating a superior processing of fundamental information in their order flow Hedge Funds are associated with temporary currency movement suggesting shorter term positioning and the liquidity effects of large trades.

Understanding This Data Essentially, given what we know about the power of institutional order flow as discussed in the BIS report it makes sense that we would look to trade in the same direction as these major institutions and essentially piggyback their order flow.

Looking to trade in the same direction as Non-Commercial players can help individual traders catch major trends Another chart that clearly demonstrates the power of this data is the USDJPY chart showing the JPY positioning. Checking the data each week to see how the institutions were positioned the prior week can be a good guide as to which direction you should be looking to trade, however, the data can be quite choppy week on week and in terms of identifying a strong signal it is best to use COT in three instances Identifying a change in positioning As shown by the circles, when major institutions shift their bias e.

Identifying periods of extreme positioning The power of following a trend as denoted by positioning can be a fantastic asset to traders but of course, no trends last forever and so it is wise to be alert, though not neurotic, to potential reversal signals. Divergent positioning Similar to what we discussed in point three, identifying divergent positioning can be another tell-tale sign of a potential reversal in the offing as institutions are displaying less interest in pursuing the move.

Issues To Be Aware Of Whilst the data can indeed be a fantastic tool for helping traders establish directional bias in the market as well as identify period of potential reversal there are a few issues that we need to consider. Backdated data First of all the data is backdated meaning it tells us how institutions were positioned the prior week and not right now nor how they will be positioned in future.

Traders know the news events that will move the market, yet the direction is not known in advance. Therefore, a trader may even be fairly confident that a news announcement, for instance that the Federal Reserve will or will not raise interest rates , will impact markets. Even then, traders cannot predict how the market will react to this expected news. Other factors such as additional statements, figures, or forward looking indicators provided by news announcements can also make market movements extremely illogical.

There is also the simple fact that as volatility surges and all sorts of orders hit the market, stops are triggered on both sides. This often results in whipsaw like action before a trend emerges if one emerges in the near term at all.

For all these reasons, taking a position before a news announcement can seriously jeopardize a trader's chances of success. Similarly, a news headline can hit the markets at any time causing aggressive movements. While it seems like easy money to be reactionary and grab some pips , if this is done in an untested way and without a solid trading plan, it can be just as devastating as trading before the news comes out.

Day traders should wait for volatility to subside and for a definitive trend to develop after news announcements. By doing so, there are fewer liquidity concerns, risk can be managed more effectively, and a more stable price direction is visible. The practice of taking on excessive risk does not equal excessive returns. Almost all traders who risk large amounts of capital on single trades will eventually lose it in the long run.

Day trading also deserves some extra attention in this area and a daily risk maximum should also be implemented. Alternatively, this number could be altered so it is more in line with the average daily gain i. The purpose of this method is to make sure no single trade or single day of trading has a significant impact on the account.

Therefore, a trader knows that they will not lose more in a single trade or day than they can make back on another by adopting a risk maximum that is equivalent to the average daily gain over a 30 day period. Much can be said of unrealistic expectations, which come from many sources, but often result in all of the above problems. Our own trading expectations are often imposed on the market, yet we cannot expect it to act according to our desires. Put simply, the market doesn't care about individual desires, and traders must accept that the market can be choppy, volatile, and trending all in short-, medium- and long-term cycles.

There is no tried-and-true method for isolating each move and profiting, and believing so will result in frustration and errors in judgment. The best way to avoid unrealistic expectations is to formulate a trading plan. If it yields steady results, then don't change it — with forex leverage, even a small gain can become large.

As capital grows over time, a position size can be increased to bring in higher returns or new strategies can be implemented and tested. Intraday , a trader must also accept what the market provides at its various intervals. For example, markets are typically more volatile at the start of the trading day, which means specific strategies used during the market open may not work later in the day.

It may become quieter as the day progresses, and a different strategy can be used. Toward the close, there may be a pickup in action, and yet another strategy can be used. If you can accept what is given at each point in the day, even if it does not align with your expectations, you are better positioned for success. There are five common forex day trading mistakes that can affect traders at any given time.

These mistakes must be avoided at all costs by developing a trading plan that takes them into account. When it comes to averaging down, traders must not add to positions but rather sell losers quickly with a pre-planned exit strategy. Additionally, traders should sit back and watch news announcements until their resulting volatility has subsided.

Risk must also be kept in check at all times, with no single trade or day losing more than what can be easily made back on another. Lastly, expectations must be managed accordingly by accepting what the market is giving you on a particular day. In general, traders are more likely to find success through understanding the common pitfalls and how to avoid them.

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